Today to talk about the future of things, LED will be defeated by who? In the new year, such a topic seems to be a bit unpleasant. However, in the hope of being prepared for a rainy day.
The Wheel of history rolls forward relentlessly crushing everything that dares to block it. ipad end Netbook, floppy disk drive history, mobile Flash died, Kodak bankruptcy, the iphone led the smartphone to erode the traditional digital camera market, led to replace the traditional lighting, then, in the future, who will replace the LED?
As Zhou, Chairman and CEO of Qihoo 360, once said, "any company can find the strongest competitor, but one opponent is not able to fight, that is the trend." Once the trend is broken, it will not be a linear development. It will accumulate strength in the invisible, and finally burst out the avalanche effect. Any force that is unwilling to change will be destroyed and marginalized in the face of an avalanche. And subversive innovation is such a signal to represent the future trend. "What is this subversive innovation for the LED industry?"
Laser lighting instead of LED lighting?
In recent years, with the father of Blue led village repair two "defection" laser lighting, said publicly: "The next 10 years, laser lighting will replace LED lighting." "Laser lighting is also becoming a potential threat to the industry as an LED.
Laser lighting is divided into visible light laser illumination, infrared laser illumination: 1, the visible light laser illumination, according to the principle divides into the following two kinds: 1 blue light excitation phosphor realizes the white illumination; 2) red-green-blue laser synthesis white laser, or true color light illumination. 2, infrared laser lighting, is the use of semiconductor materials, in the hole and electronic composite process of the reduction of the electronic energy level and release photons to produce light energy, and then the photon in the resonant cavity generated by the resonant light of the direction of the transmission of photons to form a laser. More used in night vision, night camera monitoring lighting.
The efficiency of the laser illumination is thousands of thousand on the LED, not only can increase the projection distance, improve the security, at the same time the volume is smaller, the structure is more compact. In addition to the field of lighting, laser display in the projector, digital courtyard line, television, stage lights, large screen splicing, automobile and other fields, will have a wider application. In the village repair two think, "a laser light, lighting 100 square meters Area no problem." "But because the laser is now too expensive, so the application rate is not high." Mainly used in special lighting market, such as automotive lighting, such as osram at CES on the launch of the automotive technology of the new application of laser headlights. And in the future if the laser price down again, laser headlamps will dominate the car market. As for general lighting, it depends on whether there is a breakthrough in the performance and price of the substrate.
OLED ignites the fire of the technological revolution?
From small to medium screen to large size display to lighting, OLED with the production process and product performance improvement, all the way, and its strong development will threaten the dominance of LED?
OLED because of its unique advantages by the industry known as the "dream display", is also recognized as the next generation to show the direction of development. Compared with today's widely used LCD screen, OLED can be made thinner by its pixel itself. OLED core materials are thin solid-state flexible organic materials, with flexible substrates and cover plates, can produce a variety of bent-shaped OLED flexible display. 2016, Skyworth, Shenzhen Konka, Sichuan Changhong, LG and other leading enterprises at home and abroad have launched OLED TV, and as the 2017 to replace the existing high-end LCD market mainstream products. LG is planning to ship its newly developed "Wallpaper TV" to the 2017 CES show; Meanwhile, the industry predicts Apple's iphone 8, which is due to be unveiled next year, will launch a revolutionary display product.
At present, OLED can be large-scale automated production, quality is increasingly stable, with ultra-thin, flat light-emitting, more uniform brightness, good glare control, large angle bending can be more modelling design, and its light effect can reach 60-80 lumens. It is possible that LED lighting cake has not digested, will be OLED changes.
OLED once the formation of subversion, OLED may be a flat light, tube lights, ceiling lamp, wall lamp's life, and the lighting industry from the light industries stripped into the home decoration industry. Of course, OLED also has its disadvantages, such as manufacturing costs and size, but led in a few years ago it is not such a situation? Disruptive innovation is never a perfect product, there are too many problems, but as long as at a point far more than you, it is enough-this point may be that it has a huge experience with a great advantage.
Does graphene subvert traditional LEDs?
"If the 20th century is the century of silicon, then graphene creates a new era in the 21st century and will bring substantial changes to the world," he said. "Known as the" universal material "graphene is currently the world's thinnest and hardest nano-materials, many scientists are trying to enter the field of graphene is possible.
In view of the excellent thermal conductivity and conductivity of graphene materials and the high transparent penetration rate, the LED industry is beginning to try to use graphene in the field of LED chips and heat dissipation. As early as 2015, the National Graphene Institute at the University of Manchester, UK, developed a new graphene bulb with a stronger structure and a cheaper price than an LED bulb. According to researchers, the new graphene bulbs are still based on LED technology, which greatly enhances their performance and service life through magical graphene molecules and is more affordable than traditional LED bulbs. This innovative technology of the graphene bulb is an adjustable light bulb, the bulb has a filament-shaped LED lamp, and the LED lamp outer layer will be coated with graphene, graphene's conductive ability, allowing the bulb to use time to lengthen, and reduce energy consumption by 10%.
Professionals also believe that the "silicon" alternative will be led chip industry to bring a subversive change. The MIT Research Institute has found that graphene technology can increase the speed of the chip millions. If successful business, this is a new revolution in the chip industry. In the past few decades, silicon has been the preferred raw material for making chips, and the presence of graphene will be the main material for chips in the future or in place of silicon.
Although at present, the graphene industry is still in the early stages of development, especially the entire chain of graphene has not been achieved dredging and integration. But who can predict the future? A subversive revolution that swept the world by graphene may also shake the pattern of lighting industry.
Subversive Industry Model
Industrial ecological fission in the era of Internet of Things
According to several survey reports, by 2020, the Internet of things will bring 7 trillion U.S. dollars (about 49 trillion RMB) business opportunities – the Internet of things in the production and distribution of each link will have a huge economic impact. The Internet of things is becoming more and more pervasive in the manufacturing industry, and it is inevitably changing the way companies make products and provide services.
For the lighting industry, the boundary between the industry and the industry gradually blurred, lighting industry is standing in the unprecedented connection with the Internet of things at the intersection of the depth. Intelligent lighting will also be connected with computer, IoT, cloud computing, mobile Internet and large data technology, and become an integral part of intelligent family, Smart city, intelligence society and IoT. For example, LED will play an important role in the Internet of things, part of the sensor on the internet is made up of invisible led or led optoelectronic components.
There are also industry analysis, in the Internet of things and the dual role of intelligence, the lighting industry business model will change dramatically, the internet of Things will be mastered by intelligent lighting control, control and data signal front-end, leading the lighting industry, It does not even exclude the lighting business from becoming an OEM or sensor provider for the internet giants.
3D printing + Mobile interconnection, reconfiguration of production relations
Industrial age, the logic of business model is based on the vertical relation of "enterprise-user", and the mobile internet reconstructs the relation, makes the relationship between enterprise and users horizontal and long tail, realizes zero-distance interaction, and constitutes a brand-new business ecology in connection and interaction.
In the internet age, the distance between lighting enterprises and users is also gradually shortened, based on 3D printing and intelligent technology development, the future users will not only be able to customize the lighting applications through open platform, but also to become "producers", participate in lighting design. The business model of the entire industry will also be transformed by business-to-business, consumer-oriented models to C2B (user-led, C-end user communities are critical). And with the gradual establishment of intelligent systems, free bulbs or smart software, they will further disrupt traditional business models and create new value systems.
The user is the producer. Now companies should recognize their business model, who is your user in the end? What needs do they meet? Do you create an unexpected experience for your users? Are users deeply involved in the value creation process of the product? All of these core issues are "the synergy of the entire value chain around the user".